In the Mutua Madrid Open Round of 16 on Tuesday, we have a matchup of No. 3-ranked Carlos Alcaraz against No. 24 Jan-Lennard Struff. In this Round of 16 match against Struff (+360), Alcaraz is favored with -550 odds.

Struff heads into the Round of 16 after his two-set win on Sunday over Ugo Humbert (7-5, 6-4) in the Round of 32.

Alcaraz earned a victory in two sets the last time he played, 6-3, 6-3 over Thiago Seyboth Wild in the Round of 32 on Sunday.

Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 8:45 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Struff vs. Alcaraz match information

  • Tournament: The Mutua Madrid Open
  • Round: Round of 16
  • Date: Tuesday, April 30
  • Venue: La Caja Magica
  • Location: Madrid, Spain
  • Court Surface: Clay

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Match odds

Jan-Lennard Struff Carlos Alcaraz
+360 Odds to Win Match -550

Struff stats

  • Struff has played 43 matches over the past 12 months across all court surfaces, and 27.5 games per match (25.9 in best-of-three matches).
  • On clay, Struff has played 13 matches over the past year, totaling 26.7 games per match (25.3 in best-of-three matches) while winning 54.5% of games.
  • Over the past year, Struff has won 81.6% of his service games and 21.2% of his return games.
  • Struff has won 82.1% of his service games on clay over the past 12 months and 27% of his return games.
  • In terms of serve/return winning percentages over his last 10 tournaments, Struff has won 80.9% of his games on serve, and 23% on return.
  • Including all surfaces over the past 12 months, Struff has converted 106 of 306 break points (34.6%).
  • Struff has converted 57 of 169 break points (33.7%) over his last 10 tournaments.

Alcaraz stats

  • Alcaraz has averaged 25 games per match (22 in best-of-three matches) in his 70 matches played in the past year across all court types, while winning 58.0% of the games.
  • Alcaraz has averaged 22.2 games per match (18.8 in best-of-three matches) and 9.2 games per set through 17 matches on clay courts in the past 12 months.
  • Alcaraz has an 85.2% service game winning percentage on all surfaces (742 service games won out of 871) and a 31.1% return game winning percentage (272 return games won out of 876).
  • Alcaraz has an 83.1% winning percentage in service games when playing on clay, and a 38.3% winning percentage in return games.
  • Alcaraz has won 85% of his service games over his last 10 tournaments, and 31.5% of his return games.
  • Alcaraz has won 37.7% of his break points in the past 12 months (254 out of 673, to rank 145th).
  • Alcaraz has converted 124 of 318 break points (39.0%) over his last 10 tournaments.

Head-to-head matchups

  • Alcaraz and Struff have played three times going back to 2015, and Alcaraz is 2-1, including a 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 win for Alcaraz at the Mutua Madrid Open most recently, on May 7, 2023.
  • In 11 total sets against one another, Struff has won six, compared to Alcaraz’s five.
  • Struff has won 59 games against Alcaraz (51.8%) compared to Alcaraz’s 55.
  • In three head-to-head meetings, Struff and Alcaraz have played 38 games and 3.7 sets per match.