Home » Canelo Álvarez vs Jaime Munguia preview: Betting tips and odds

Canelo Álvarez vs Jaime Munguia preview: Betting tips and odds

Two of Mexico’s most exciting boxers square off this Saturday night (Sunday morning, UK time) in the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas when Saúl ‘Canelo’ Álvarez takes on the unbeaten Jaime Munguia.

The IBF, WBA, WBC, and WBO super middleweight titles will all be on the line as Munguia looks to make himself a household name against one of the most tenacious and respected boxers on the planet.

In this Álvarez vs Munguia betting preview, I offer my opinions on the fight, see who the bookies think will have their hand raised, and more.

Current Canelo Álvarez vs Jaime Munguia odds

Saúl ‘Canelo’ Álvarez is the clear favourite with the bookies for Saturday’s encounter.

The best value on Álvarez to win is 1/4 with Betfair.

If you want to back Jamie Munguia for the upset win, he can be found at 9/2 with Sky Bet. A draw is priced at 25/1. 

Best bookies for betting on Álvarez vs Munguia

Check my list below, where I have gathered the most generous odds for the Álvarez vs Munguia fight from the best UK boxing bookmakers. 

Canelo Álvarez’s record

Few active boxers in the world can boast a legacy as rich and as storied as Canelo’s. The Mexican steps into the ring on Saturday with 64 fights on his record, comprising 60 wins, two draws, and two defeats. 

The fighter has lost just one fight in the last ten years, a UD loss to Dmitry Bivol at the T-Mobile Arena in 2022. He has bounced back since then, scoring three consecutive UD wins against Gennady Golovkin, John Ryder, and, most recently, Jermell Charlo. 

The 33-year-old has never been knocked out and, despite being six years older than his opponent this weekend, has been just as active, with this being his third fight in the last 12 months. 

The Ring and ESPN rank Álvarez as the number 4 and 5 pound-for-pound fighter in the world, respectively, and he will look to score a dominant victory to cement his position as the greatest super middleweight in the world this weekend.

Jaime Munguia’s record

Jaime Munguia will step into the ring this weekend with a point to prove. The 27-year-old Mexican fighter has a perfect record, having won all 43 of his professional fights to date.

Munguia is not a man who messes around either; he has a 79% knockout record, winning 34 of his 43 fights by putting his opponent on the mat. 

In fact, four of his last five fights were finished this way, with his last outing seeing him secure a TKO victory over John Ryder in January.

Saturday’s clash with Álvarez will be his third fight since last June, when he defeated Sergiy Derevyanchenko, one of just nine opponents Munguia has failed to stop. 

Canelo is, undoubtedly, the toughest test of Munguia’s career to date, and a win against him would cement his position as one of the fastest-rising names in the boxing world.

Álvarez vs Munguia betting tips and odds

With Álvarez being the overwhelming favourite for this weekend’s clash, I have taken a look through some of the alternative markets and picked three selections that I believe offer some excellent value.

Saúl Álvarez by Decision at 10/11 (bet365)

Álvarez is the clear favourite for Saturday’s showdown, so backing him in the results market will present better value for bettors. Munguia is sure to come out of the blocks fighting and may look to secure a headline-grabbing KO.

However, Álvarez is the more experienced of the two fighters and will no doubt utilise his superior in-ring IQ to keep his opponent at bay. 

While Álvarez going for the KO at 20/11 with BetMGM is also attractive, I’m going to stick with the formbooks and back Canelo to win by decision at 10/11.

🥊 Bet on Álvarez to win by decision at 10/11 with bet365 🥊

Fight to go the Distance – Yes at 8/15 (VBET)

As his 43-0 record suggests, Jamie Munguia is no pushover. The Tijuana native is going to be a tough test for Canelo and is certainly going to be difficult to knock out.

Munguia has shown he has some serious knockout potential, and Canelo might not want to get drawn into a shooting contest with his right hand.

As such, I recommend backing the fight to go the distance at 8/15 with VBET.

🥊 Bet on the fight to go the distance at 8/15 with VBET🥊

Jamie Munguia by KO/TKO at 10/1 (Sky Bet)

If the boxing world has reminded me of anything in recent weeks, it is that anything can happen once the bell rings.

While I would not back this myself, if you are looking for a real outside bet that provides value, then a Munguia KO victory at 10/1 could be for you. 

This weekend’s fight with Álvarez is a potentially star-making encounter for Munguia, and what better way to make a name for yourself than to join the likes of Floyd Mayweather and Dmitry Bivol as one of the only fighters to defeat Saúl ‘Canelo’ Álvarez.

He would also become the first first to knock him out.

🥊 Bet on Munguia to win by KO/TKO at 10/1 with Sky Bet🥊


How to bet on Álvarez vs Munguia. 18+ BeGambleAware.org – Please play responsibly.

How to bet on Álvarez vs Munguia

If you want to place a bet on Álvarez vs Munguia this weekend, follow these simple steps: 

  1. Check the overview with the best boxing bookmakers and bonuses. Remember to use the provided links to get the best offers.
  2. Complete the registration details and verify your account. 
  3. Once you are all set up, deposit funds into your account. I prefer to use Visa or Mastercard to do this, but other payment methods are available. 
  4. Search through the sportsbook and locate the boxing page. Most bookmakers will list fights by date, so find May 4th and then click on the Álvarez vs Munguia fight
  5. Choose the market you want to bet on and add it to your betting slip. 
  6. Enter your stake and double-check that everything is correct. The last fight you want is to back the wrong market or to have bet more than you intended. 
  7. Click confirm bet, put your feet up and get ready to enjoy what promises to be an explosive encounter.

Who is the favourite to win, Álvarez or Munguia?

Unsurprisingly, Álvarez is the favourite to have his hand raised at the end of the night this weekend.

His odds will fluctuate depending on which top UK bookmaker you are using, with Betfair having him at 1/4 and other companies having at similar prices.

What’s the weight category of the Álvarez vs Munguia fight?

Álvarez vs Munguia will take place in the super middleweight division. The fight will be 12 rounds, with a weight limit of 168 pounds.

This is only Munguia’s third fight at this weight. 

Who has more professional fights, Saúl ‘Canelo’ Álvarez or Jaime Munguia?

Canelo is the more experienced of the two fighters this weekend. The 33-year-old has competed in 64 fights, with Munguia having 43 to his name.

Despite Munguia having fewer fights than Álvarez, he is still an incredibly experienced fighter, with both men having their fair share of battles over the years.

Who has more wins in their professional career, Canelo or Munguia?

With more fights to his name, it should be no surprise Álvarez also has won more wins.

Canelo has won 60 fights, while Munguia has won 43. However, it is worth noting that Munguia has a 100% record, having never lost, which is something that Álvarez can not claim.

Who has more KOs in their career, Álvarez or Munguia?

Once again, Álvarez wins here, with 39 KO wins compared to Munguia’s 34. However, Munguia has a much higher KO percentage over the course of his career than Álvarez. 

What’s on the line if the Munguia wins?

Canelo puts his IBF, WBA, WBC, and WBO super middleweight titles on the line against Munguia in Las Vegas this weekend.

If Munguia is victorious, the win will also have the potential to catapult him up the division and grab back-page headlines around the world.

Are there any undercard fights that you should pay attention to?

Fans at the T-Mobile Arena are in for a treat this Saturday night, with the undercard serving up a handful of exciting fights. 

Mario Barrios will defend his WBC interim welterweight title against Fabian Maidana. Former world champion Barrios will be looking to land his second consecutive victory in the arena, having defeated Yordenis Ugás there in September.

He is the overwhelming favourite for the fight, with BetUK pricing him at 1/10. If you fancy the upset, Maidana is available all the way out at 6/1. 

Brandon Figueroa will also defend his WBC interim featherweight title against Jessie Magdaleno. The fight should be a routine victory for Figeurora, who, while less experienced than his opponent, comes into the fight on much better form.

His last outing saw him defeat Mark Magsayo to win the aforementioned title belt, while his opponent’s last outing saw him lose to Raymond Ford in San Antonio.

If you want to back Figueroa, he is the heavy favourite at 1/16 with bet365, with Magdaleno out at 17/2.

Canelo Álvarez vs Jaime Munguia fight info

  • Date/Time: Sunday 5th May, 01:00 GMT
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
  • TV/Streaming: Live on DAZN 

About the author

Liam Hoofe

Liam is an experienced iGaming and sports betting journalist based in Cardiff. He has worked in the sports betting industry since 2017 and has provided content for some of the biggest casino and betting brands in the UK. He has also covered football and other sports for both regional and national newspapers. 

Find Liam on Twitter: @LiamHoofe

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