Super Bowl 58 may be a matchup of two of the best defenses in the NFL, but that doesn’t mean that we won’t see the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs have at least a few touchdown trots at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday.
In last year’s Super Bowl, Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts scored the game’s first touchdown, getting in from a yard out less than five minutes into the contest.
How likely is it that we will see a similar result this year? A rushing touchdown could very well be the game’s first touchdown, but it is unlikely to be the first score of the game.
Last year was only the seventh time that a rushing touchdown accounted for the first scoring play of the Super Bowl, and none of those instances have been in consecutive years. In fact, it has happened only twice in the 21st century, the other coming in Super Bowl LI seven years ago.
Hurts’ touchdown was one of his three rushing touchdowns and one of nine touchdowns in last year’s thriller in Glendale, Arizona, a 38-35 win for the Chiefs. Seven players found the end zone at State Farm Stadium, including Chiefs linebacker Nick Bolton, who scored on a fumble return in the second quarter.
Who will find the end zone first and at any point during Sunday’s showdown in Sin City? Read on for our Super Bowl 58 first and anytime touchdown scorer picks.
Super Bowl 58 First and Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks
All odds and picks are courtesy of Bovada as of Friday, February 9, 2024.
Super Bowl First Touchdown Scorer Picks
San Francisco 49ers: Christian McCaffrey
- +155 to score San Francisco’s first TD
- +340 to score the first TD of Super Bowl 58
Given that McCaffrey has been the 49ers’ most prolific touchdown scorer this season, he is easily the best choice here.
San Francisco scored 60 rushing and receiving touchdowns in the regular season, and McCaffrey (14 rushing, seven receiving) had 35% of those scores.
In the playoffs, the 49ers have scored seven rushing and receiving touchdowns, and McCaffrey has four of them. He scored two rushing touchdowns against the Green Bay Packers in the divisional round, and he repeated the feat in the NFC Championship Game against the Detroit Lions.
McCaffrey, who has the third best odds to win Super Bowl MVP (behind only Patrick Mahomes and Brock Purdy), has scored at least one touchdown in 16 of his 18 games this season and in 27 of 32 games with the Niners, including all five playoff games. So, in addition to being a great option for your Super Bowl first touchdown scorer bets, there’s also value in backing him as an anytime scorer in the first half (+130 at Bovada) and/or second half (+120 at Bovada).
Kansas City Chiefs: Rashee Rice
- +350 to score Kansas City’s first TD
- +700 to score the first TD of Super Bowl 58
Kansas City’s receiving corps has had its issues this season, but Rice has flashed some potential in his rookie season and could prove to be a key target for Patrick Mahomes for years to come.
Rice, the 55th overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, led the Chiefs in touchdown catches (seven) in the regular season and had 79 catches (102 targets) for 938 yards (11.9 YPC).
In the postseason, Rice has 20 catches (25 targets) for 223 yards (11.1 YPC) and a touchdown, with eight catches, 130 yards, and the score coming against the Miami Dolphins on Super Wild Card Weekend.
Of his eight touchdowns this season, four were the Chiefs’ first touchdown of the game, and three were the first touchdown of the game, including his 11-yard score against the Dolphins last month.
Each time Rice has been the game’s first touchdown scorer, the score has come in the first quarter. At Bovada, Rice is +750 to score a touchdown in the first quarter, which could make for a low-risk, high-reward Super Bowl anytime touchdown scorer bet.
Super Bowl Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks
San Francisco 49ers: Brandon Aiyuk (+140)
Deebo Samuel will be an appealing Super Bowl anytime touchdown scorer pick for many, which is understandable. After all, he has been the 49ers’ second most frequent touchdown scorer behind McCaffrey, having found the end zone a dozen times in the regular season (seven receiving, five rushing).
But over the last two seasons, Samuel has scored only one touchdown in his last eight games against AFC teams and just once in five playoff games, and he will be the focus of a lot of attention on Sunday.
Aiyuk has caught only 42.9% (6 of 14) of his targets in the postseason after snagging 71.4% (75 of 105) of his targets in the regular season. But one of his six catches was a touchdown in the NFC Championship Game, which followed a huge 51-yard reception that helped the turn the game around in the second half.
Overall, Aiyuk has eight touchdown catches this season, and as a player who can be a threat with the deep ball or in the red zone, he presents a lot of value as an anytime touchdown scorer.
Kansas City Chiefs: Travis Kelce (-130)
Kelce may not have had a monster season, but it is no surprise that he and the Chiefs have both stood tall in the playoffs.
Kelce fell short of his eighth straight 1,000-yard season, but he was the team’s leading receiver in the regular season (93 catches, 984 yards, 5 TD) and has carried that into the postseason.
In three playoff games, he has 23 catches (27 targets) for 262 yards (11.4 YPC) and three touchdowns. In the AFC Championship Game win over the Baltimore Ravens, Kelce caught all 11 of his targets for 116 yards, including a 19-yard touchdown catch to put the Chiefs up in the first quarter.
Kelce loves scoring touchdowns in the postseason, period. He has scored at least one touchdown in 14 of his 21 career playoff games, including 13 of 17 with Mahomes and two of his three Super Bowl appearances.
Where to Bet on Super Bowl Touchdown Scorer Odds
Many people like to bet on first and anytime touchdown scorer odds, both during the NFL season and for the Super Bowl. As a result, you can find these odds at most online sports betting sites.
At each of these sportsbooks, you can find Super Bowl 58 first and anytime touchdown scorer odds.
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Other Super Bowl 58 Content at Betting News
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