Home » Heat vs. Pistons Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, March 19, 2023

Heat vs. Pistons Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, March 19, 2023

The Miami Heat (38-34) are 8-point favorites as they prepare to play the Detroit Pistons (16-55) on March 19, 2023. The matchup’s over/under is 216.

Heat vs. Pistons Odds

  • Heat odds to win: -362
  • Pistons odds to win: +288
  • Spread: Heat (-8)
  • Total: 216

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Game Time and Information

  • When: Sunday, March 19, 2023 at 6:00 PM ET
  • Where: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan

Who Will Win Heat vs. Pistons?

Heat and Pistons Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Heat have a 3-6 record against the spread this season when favored by 8 points or more.

When they have played as at least 8-point underdogs this season, the Pistons are 13-15-1 against the spread.

These teams average 220.1 points per game combined, 4.1 more than the over/under of 216.

Miami and Detroit have seen its opponents average a combined 12.3 more points per game than the point total of 216 set in this outing.

The average total the Heat have had set in matchups this year is 2.6 more points than this outing’s point total.

The average point total for Detroit this season is 13.6 points higher than this game’s over/under.

Miami’s ATS record is 25-43-4 this season.

The Pistons have a 31-39-1 record against the spread this season.

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat average 109 points per game (30th in the league) while giving up 109.7 per contest (second in the NBA). They have a -48 scoring differential overall.

The 40.9 rebounds per game the Heat average rank 27th in the NBA, and are 1.1 fewer than the 42 their opponents pull down per contest.

Miami makes 11.7 three-pointers per game (17th in the league), 1.5 fewer than its opponents (13.2). It is shooting 33.8% from beyond the arc (28th in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 37%.

The Heat score 109.5 points per 100 possessions (26th in the league), while allowing 110 points per 100 possessions (sixth in the NBA).

The Heat have scored at a higher rate when playing at home than away from home in the 2022-23 season (110.5 at home versus 107.3 on the road), though they have allowed fewer points at home than on the road (109.2 opponent points per home game versus 110.2 on the road).

Pistons Stats & Insights

The Pistons have been outscored by 7.5 points per game (posting 111.1 points per game, 28th in league, while conceding 118.6 per outing, 29th in NBA) and have a -534 scoring differential.

Detroit comes up short in the rebound battle by an average of 2.1 boards. It grabs 42.7 rebounds per game (20th in league) compared to its opponents’ 44.8.

The Pistons make 11.5 three-pointers per game (19th in the league) at a 35.2% rate (21st in NBA), compared to the 11.9 their opponents make, shooting 36.1% from beyond the arc.

The Pistons score 108 points per 100 possessions (28th in league), while allowing 115.6 points per 100 possessions (27th in NBA).

Detroit scores 112.8 points per game at home, and 109.1 on the road.

Heat Key Players to Watch

The Heat get 21 points, 9.3 rebounds and 3.3 assists from Bam Adebayo.

Jimmy Butler’s averages this season are 22.6 points, 6.1 rebounds and five assists per game.

Tyler Herro makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Heat, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of three per contest.

Butler averages 1.9 takeaways per game, and Adebayo records 0.9 rejections per contest.

Pistons Key Players to Watch

Jaden Ivey pours in 15.4 points per game. He also adds 3.9 rebounds per outing and 4.9 assists per contest.

Jalen Duren has per-game averages of 8.8 points, 1.1 assists and 8.9 rebounds this season.

Ivey knocks down 1.4 threes per game.

Killian Hayes’ 1.4 steals and Duren’s 0.9 blocks per game are vital to the Pistons’ defensive performance.

Heat vs. Pistons Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Pistons (+ 8)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (216)

  • Prediction:
    Heat 115 – Pistons 109

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